XP (MEX:XP N) Beneish M-Score: -2.38 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MEX:XP N XP Inc MEX:XP N
58 GF Score
Price MXN315.00
GF Value MXN547.58
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is XP Beneish M-Score?

XP MEX:XP N 58 Beneish M-Score is -2.38 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:XP N with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN547.58 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 702 Capital Markets companies, XP ranks better than 59.83% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for XP's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:XP N' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83   Med: -2.09   Max: 4.22
Current: -2.38

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of XP was 4.22. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.09.


XP Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for XP's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

XP Beneish M-Score Chart

XP Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.08 -1.42 -2.52 -2.75 -2.43

XP Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.41 -2.49 -2.43 -2.38

MEX:XP N vs SNEX, FIGR, HLI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, XP's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


XP Beneish M-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, XP's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where XP's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:XP N
58GF Score
XP Inc MEX:XP N
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

XP Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of XP for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0486+0.528 * 0.9503+0.404 * 1.1463+0.892 * 1.0776+0.115 * 1.1773
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0135+4.679 * -0.052376-0.327 * 0.9132
=-2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN135,970 Mil.
Revenue was 6665.368 + 8025.901 + 7150.458 + 6092.732 = MXN27,934 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1693.066 + 4073.258 + 1439.738 + 771.458 = MXN7,978 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN491,578 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,308,681 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN2,654 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN775 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN18,326 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN691,517 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN97,590 Mil.
Net Income was 4544.726 + 4276.279 + 4513.778 + 4478.096 = MXN17,813 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 9520.477 + 8452.768 + 8897.409 + 9110.368 = MXN35,981 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + -7870.336 + 42097.011 + 16148.37 = MXN50,375 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN120,331 Mil.
Revenue was 5858.803 + 6535.69 + 6899.623 + 6627.934 = MXN25,922 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1300.377 + 2659.514 + 1181.852 + 1893.017 = MXN7,035 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN540,320 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,187,749 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN2,609 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN946 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN16,779 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN670,488 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN113,809 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(135969.91 / 27934.459) / (120330.908 / 25922.05)
=4.867462 / 4.642029
=1.0486

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7034.76 / 25922.05) / (7977.52 / 27934.459)
=0.271381 / 0.28558
=0.9503

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (491577.736 + 2653.894) / 1308680.933) / (1 - (540320.348 + 2608.576) / 1187748.558)
=0.622344 / 0.542892
=1.1463

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27934.459 / 25922.05
=1.0776

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(946.457 / (946.457 + 2608.576)) / (775.498 / (775.498 + 2653.894))
=0.26623 / 0.226133
=1.1773

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18325.645 / 27934.459) / (16778.872 / 25922.05)
=0.656023 / 0.647282
=1.0135

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((97589.861 + 691517.445) / 1308680.933) / ((113808.803 + 670487.677) / 1187748.558)
=0.602979 / 0.660322
=0.9132

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(17812.879 - 35981.022 - 50375.045) / 1308680.933
=-0.052376

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

XP has a M-score of -2.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.38 mean?
XP (MEX:XP N) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.38 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on XP and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, XP ranks #282 out of 702 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 40.2%.
Is XP's Beneish M-Score too high?
XP's current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. Based on the distribution chart, XP ranks #282 out of 702 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, XP has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does XP's Beneish M-Score compare to SNEX and FIGR?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, XP ranks #282 out of 702 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts XP in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Capital Markets company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on XP and its competitors. XP's current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is XP stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XP (MEX:XP N) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN547.58, compared to a current price of MXN315.00 — trading 42.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. XP's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For XP (MEX:XP N), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.38 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is XP (MEX:XP N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XP stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN315.00 is trading 42.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN547.58. GuruFocus considers XP to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:XP N:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.38
  • GF Value™: MXN547.58 vs. price of MXN315.00 (42.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:XP N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


XP Business Description

Address 20, Genesis Close, George Town, Vila Olimpia, Grand Cayman, CYM, KY-1-1208
XP Inc is a Cayman Island-based technology-driven financial services platform. It is a provider of low-fee financial products and services in Brazil. The company evaluates its business through a single segment such as monitoring operations, making decisions on fund allocation, and evaluating the performance. It generates revenue through the Brokerage commission. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from Brazil and also has its presence in other countries.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:XP N

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN315.00
Price
MXN547.58
GF Value